Win Rate Is BS

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Hey Mate,

Someone I know just made nearly $200,000 this week

With only a 35% win rate.

Most traders would panic with that number.
But this guy? He’s averaging 2.7R per trade—and he’s doing better than 99% of traders who “win more.”

Here’s the hard truth no one talks about:

You don’t need a high win rate. You need high quality trades.

It took me a long time to learn this.

I used to think the key to consistency was winning 70%–80% of the time.
I’d tweak strategies endlessly trying to bump my win rate higher.
And every time I took a loss, I’d doubt myself all over again.

But once I focused on risk-reward, everything changed.

The Real Math of Trading

Here’s the truth about profitable traders:

  • They don’t win every trade

  • They don’t try to be perfect

  • They know their edge and they play it over and over again

With a 2.7R average RR, you can win just 35% of the time
and still grow your account fast.

It’s not about being “right.”
It’s about being disciplined enough to wait for the right setup—and sticking to your rules once you’re in.

A Smarter Way to Stay Informed

Quick shoutout to 1440, one of the only newsletters I read daily.

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Final Thoughts

If there’s one thing I’d tell every struggling trader, it’s this:

Focus on your average risk-reward, not your win rate.

Win rate is ego.
Risk-reward is freedom.

It’s not about looking smart.
It’s about playing the numbers—and getting paid.

Want to Trade Like That?

This is exactly what I teach inside my program:

  • How to structure a system around risk-reward

  • How to stay emotionally neutral through losing streaks

  • And how to rewire their mindset

If that’s what you’re looking for, take a look here.
I hope to see you inside!

P.S.
Curious to hear from you:

  • Do you think win rate is overrated or still important?

  • What's your current average RR?

  • Would you trade differently if you stopped obsessing over your win rate?

Reply and let me know—I read every message.

Until next time,
Atif