There's a term in decision theory called satisficing.

It means accepting the first option that meets a minimum threshold rather than continuing to search for the optimal one. Herbert Simon coined it in 1956 while studying how humans actually make decisions versus how economists assumed we did.

The finding was uncomfortable: humans don't optimize. 

They stop searching the moment something feels good enough.

I thought about this last week while reviewing trade journals from three different traders who reached out after blowing their second funded challenge. All three had winning strategies on paper. All three had "done the work." And all three made the exact same error that had nothing to do with their entry criteria.

They satisficed their process.

They found something that worked once, felt the relief of not having to search anymore, and locked it in. Then the market shifted. Their edge didn't. And because they had stopped iterating the moment discomfort ended, they had no framework for adapting when conditions changed.

This is the part most trading education gets backwards.

There's a stage of cognitive development psychologists call the conformist stage. Your mind operates entirely through cultural programming, judging truth based on what's popular, what's accepted, what the group believes, rather than through direct investigation.

About 50% of the population sits here according to Spiral Dynamics research. Not because they're unintelligent. Because the brain is wired for survival, and historically, conformity meant safety.

The problem is that markets are not a conformity-rewarding environment.

Every "standard" retail approach, support and resistance, indicator crossovers, pattern recognition, exists because enough traders adopted it to make it the default. The default is comfortable. The default is what YouTube teaches. The default is what feels like "doing the work."

The default is also what institutions target.

When smart money needs to fill a large position, they don't look for willing sellers at fair value. They engineer situations where retail traders are forced to sell at unfair value. They know exactly where the conformist stops are clustered because conformists all learned from the same sources.

The question isn't whether you learned the "right" patterns. The question is whether you learned patterns that the majority also learned, because if you did, you've optimized for being the exit liquidity.

There's a concept that keeps appearing in performance research across domains: agency.

Not in the corporate sense. In the psychological sense.

Agency is the tendency to initiate action toward a goal without outside permission, instruction, or prompting — and critically, to iterate on that action when it doesn't work rather than abandoning it or freezing.

High-agency individuals treat life as an experiment. They have a hypothesis. They test it. They expect failure because failure is data. They adjust and test again.

Low-agency individuals do what they're told, and when it doesn't work, they assume the problem is either themselves or the information. Both assumptions end the same way: back to searching for the next thing someone else validated.

The traders who eventually pass challenges and scale capital share one trait that has nothing to do with their actual strategy: they iterate without permission.

They don't wait for someone to tell them their approach is valid. They don't need a guru to confirm their thesis. They test, measure, adjust, test again. When the market changes, they change. When their edge degrades, they investigate why rather than hoping it comes back.

The traders who cycle through strategy after strategy, course after course, funded challenge after funded challenge — they're not learning. They're searching for the configuration that means they never have to think independently again.

They want to suffice.

The trader who "specializes" in a single setup, a single pair, a single timeframe has optimized for a specific market condition. When that condition shifts, and it always shifts, they have no framework for adaptation.

The trader who understands market mechanics at the fundamental level, how liquidity works, why price moves, what institutions need to execute size, can apply that understanding across any pair, any timeframe, any condition.

This is the difference between learning a skill and understanding a system.

Skills get invalidated. Skills get arbitraged away as more traders adopt them.

Understanding compounds.

If you know why stops get hunted, you can identify where stops will cluster in any market. If you know why fair value gaps fill, you can spot them forming before they complete. If you know why funded challenges have the specific rules they do, you can build a process designed for those constraints rather than hoping your existing process survives them.

Here's what actually changed my trading after the third blown account and roughly $30,000 in lessons:

I stopped looking for the strategy and started building the process.

A strategy is a fixed response to a perceived pattern. 

A process is a feedback loop that updates itself based on results.

The strategy says: "When I see X, I do Y."

The process says: "When I see X, I do Y, measure the outcome, compare it against expected value, identify the deviation, update my hypothesis, and test again."

One is static. The other iterates.

The traders I've watched scale past six figures all have processes. They all expect their current approach to degrade. They all have systems for detecting when degradation begins and frameworks for adjusting before drawdown forces the issue.

The traders who stay stuck have strategies. They found something that worked, satisficed, and now defend it emotionally because abandoning it would mean the search starts over.

{{first_name}}, the goal isn't to find the setup that works forever. That setup doesn't exist. The goal is to build the iteration capacity that lets you find what works now, extract value from it while it works, and transition to what works next before the edge disappears.

That's agency applied to markets.

I spent two years building the systematic framework that took my trading from hoping the pattern works to expecting to pass, the difference isn't information.

Talk soon

Atif

P.S. I map institutional positioning using FluxCharts on every pair I trade — liquidity levels, order flow zones, areas where smart money is likely accumulating or distributing. If you're serious about seeing where the conformist clusters actually sit, worth a look. Also — if something in here shifted how you're thinking about your approach, hit reply and tell me what landed. I read every response.

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